Fitness and fatigue
CTLₜ = CTLₜ₋₁ + (TSSₜ − CTLₜ₋₁) / 42
Running load feeds a model of fitness, fatigue and form. Each activity shows whether its running load came from the pace stream, average pace or heart rate.
Impulse–response model · Banister et al., 1975Load context
ACWR = TSS₇ / (TSS₂₈ / 4)
Recent stress compared with your four-week average. It describes load, not injury risk, and does not trigger cutbacks on its own. Session-distance observations and coaching assumptions stay separate.
Acute:chronic workload ratio · Gabbett, 2016Race prediction
VO₂ = −4.60 + 0.182v + 0.000104v²
Daniels-based estimates anchor race equivalents and training paces. With suitable recent efforts, compare other models and inspect their sources, dates and limits. Estimates are not guaranteed results.
Oxygen Power · Daniels & Gilbert, 1979